Monday, April 20, 2009

Why Mobile Windows 6.5 Won't Matter

I'm not a Microsoft lover or hater - I own and develop applications for both the Microsoft Surface and (very soon) the iPhone - but hearing that Windows Mobile, which I believe to be a really great smartphone platform, is going to support multitouch with capacitive touchscreens just doesn't excite me.

Why? Because Apple has already blown the doors off of multitouch on the mobile and no one is going to come close for a long time to come. Not because Apple will continue to make a superior product, but because they have established an enormous ecosystem that is, in my opinion, simply unstoppable.

Take a look at the App Store which is quickly approaching 1 billion downloads. 1 billion! There are more than 25 thousand applications to choose from. That's redicioulus. How will any platform ever catch up? I don't think they will for a long time to come. It's not the hardware that matters its what you can do with it.

The iPhone is not going to continue to dominate the touch-mobile simply because its pretty: its going to dominate the touch-mobile space and become a big player in the World mobile arena because Apple was smart enough to make it easy for people to publish software applications and, more importantly, for people to download them directly to their phones.

RIM and Microsoft and Nokia can come out with their own versions of the App Store, but it will be too little to late. You had your chance guys and you caved into the mobile carriers and blew it.

2 comments:

Tim Layton said...

All good points... However I think you are discounting the very large base of windows mobile users and the business/corporate connection. Most organizations run MS Exchange and windows mobile devices are the obvious device for too many reasons to list. With the new features in windows mobile 6.5 and the upcoming version 7, I think you will see MS continue to gain market share quarter over quarter.

Anonymous said...

I think the Google Android will in the next few years overtake the Iphone.
As the software will be free, open source, so it should be cheaper.
And they are giving away $10,000,000 to software developers to develop applications.
I can also see Google overtaking Microsoft in the desktop market.
You think about it , if they came from hardly anywhere and beat Microsoft and Yahoo in the internet, then they will also be able to beat Microsoft in anything.
Google number 1 in desktop software and in Phones in the next 3-5 years.